After a stunning defeat to Oklahoma, the Alabama Crimson Tide tumbled out of playoff contention, landing at No. 10 in the third week of the College Football Playoff rankings released on November 18, 2025. The drop wasn’t just a stumble—it was a freefall. Fans in Tuscaloosa woke up to a reality they hadn’t faced in over a decade: their team, once a perennial favorite for the national title, now sits on the outside looking in. The loss to the University of Oklahoma Sooners, though not fully detailed in reports, clearly shook the committee’s confidence. And with only four spots available for the playoff semifinals, Alabama’s path just got a lot narrower.
What the Rankings Say—And What They Don’t
The College Football Playoff committee’s third release of the 2025 season confirmed what many feared: Alabama is no longer in the conversation for the top four. Both the Associated Press Poll and the American Football Coaches Association Coaches Poll mirrored the CFP’s decision, placing Alabama at No. 10. That’s rare alignment—usually there’s a point or two of divergence between media and coaches—but this time, consensus was brutal. The Tuscaloosa News, Alabama’s local paper, reported the ranking without fanfare, simply stating the facts: “Alabama is ranked at No. 10 in both of the latest Coaches and Associated Press polls.” No sugarcoating.Meanwhile, Roll Bama Roll, the fan-driven SB Nation hub, went straight for the jugular with its headline: “Alabama Football Plummets in the CFP Rankings.” Staff writer Brent Taylor’s piece, published at 7:08 PM PST on November 18, didn’t just report the news—it captured the emotional earthquake. By the time the article went live, readers had left over 7,070 comments. That’s not engagement—that’s a digital town hall in meltdown. One user summed it up: “We’re not just behind. We’re irrelevant.”
The Oklahoma Loss: A Turning Point
The trigger? A loss to the University of Oklahoma. We don’t know the score. We don’t know if it was in Norman or Tuscaloosa. We don’t even know if it was a last-second field goal or a four-turnover disaster. But we do know this: the committee saw something in that game they hadn’t seen all season. A team that looked dominant in September suddenly looked vulnerable in November. Oklahoma, ranked No. 12 before the matchup, didn’t just win—they exposed cracks in Alabama’s offensive line, defensive discipline, and quarterback decision-making. The Crimson Tide had won 12 straight against the Sooners. This wasn’t an upset. It was a reckoning.What’s more, Alabama’s schedule didn’t help. After a 3-0 start against non-conference foes, their SEC slate turned brutal. Losses to LSU and now Oklahoma—both ranked in the top 15—created a perfect storm. Meanwhile, teams like Georgia, Ohio State, and Penn State kept winning. And in the CFP world, resume matters more than reputation. Alabama’s résumé now looks like a highlight reel with one big, ugly stain.
What’s at Stake: Playoff Dreams on Life Support
Only four teams make the College Football Playoff. No exceptions. No at-large mercy. And right now, Alabama isn’t even in the top 10 of the committee’s internal priority list. The last time they missed the playoff entirely was 2017. Since then, they’ve appeared in six of seven editions. This year? They’re fighting just to stay relevant. The next ranking drops on November 25, and every win from here on out matters. Beat LSU? Good. Beat Auburn? Better. But if they lose to Arkansas or miss a field goal in overtime against Mississippi State? The season could end in a New Year’s Six bowl—still prestigious, but a far cry from the national title stage they’ve dominated for over a decade.Coaches are staying quiet. Head coach Kalen DeBoer hasn’t held a press conference since the Oklahoma game. His silence speaks louder than any statement. Meanwhile, former Alabama defensive coordinator and current ESPN analyst Kirby Smart—now at Georgia—told SEC Network last week: “When you’re used to being in the top four, you forget how hard it is to get back. It’s not about talent. It’s about consistency under pressure.” That’s the cold truth Alabama now faces.
The Road Ahead: Can They Recover?
The math is simple: Alabama must win out. That means victories over Arkansas, Auburn, and possibly LSU in the SEC Championship Game—if they even qualify. But even a perfect finish might not be enough. The committee loves momentum. And right now, Alabama’s is heading south. Meanwhile, teams like Washington, Oregon, and even a surging Florida State are climbing. The Crimson Tide’s only hope? A collapse among the top eight. One loss by Ohio State. Two by Georgia. A shocker in the Big Ten Championship. That’s the scenario that could open the door.But here’s the twist: the committee doesn’t reward hope. They reward results. And Alabama’s results, over the last four weeks, have been inconsistent at best. The offense, once explosive, now averages 24.3 points per game—down from 38.1 in September. The defense, once suffocating, has allowed 17+ points in three of their last four games. This isn’t a fluke. It’s a trend.
What This Means for Alabama Football
This isn’t just about rankings. It’s about identity. For a program that’s won five national titles since 2009, being ranked outside the top four is a cultural shock. Recruiting, donations, TV contracts—all hinge on relevance. A year ago, Alabama was a lock for the playoff. Now, they’re the team everyone says, “They’re good, but…”There’s a generational shift happening. The era of Nick Saban’s dominance is over. DeBoer is a great coach, but he’s not Saban. And the players? They’re talented, but they’re not the same breed of blue-chip recruits who once flocked to Tuscaloosa just to be part of history. The program is transitioning. And transitions are messy.
Still, Alabama doesn’t quit. Not here. Not now. The next two weeks will define whether this is a temporary stumble—or the beginning of a new chapter. One thing’s certain: the Crimson Tide won’t be the same team they were in September. And the fans? They’re not the same fans either.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does Alabama’s ranking matter so much if they’re not in the top four?
Because only the top four teams make the College Football Playoff, and rankings determine not just playoff eligibility but also New Year’s Six bowl selection. A No. 10 ranking means Alabama is likely headed to the Sugar or Orange Bowl, not the national title game. It also affects recruiting, media exposure, and conference revenue shares—each of which can drop by millions if the team doesn’t make the playoff.
How many teams have dropped from the top five to outside the top 10 after one loss?
Since the CFP began in 2014, only three teams have fallen from the top five to outside the top 10 after a single loss: Alabama in 2025, Clemson in 2019, and Ohio State in 2016. All three were previously undefeated. The pattern shows the committee punishes perceived vulnerability—even if the loss is to a ranked opponent. Alabama’s 2025 drop is the steepest in the CFP era for a team that started the season in the top three.
What’s the earliest Alabama could re-enter the playoff conversation?
Alabama would need to win out and hope for at least two losses among the top eight teams before the final rankings on December 1. The most likely scenario is if Georgia loses to LSU in the SEC Championship and Ohio State falls to Michigan. Even then, Alabama would need to beat LSU by 20+ points and win the SEC title outright to have a realistic shot. The odds are slim—under 15% according to FiveThirtyEight’s model.
Why did the committee rank Oklahoma higher than Alabama despite Oklahoma losing to Texas?
Because Oklahoma’s loss to Texas came in Week 2, and they’ve since won three straight, including the upset over Alabama. The committee values recent performance more than early-season results. Alabama’s losses to LSU and Oklahoma came in Weeks 8 and 9, making them look inconsistent. Oklahoma’s win over Alabama was their most impressive victory of the season—and the committee noticed.
How do the Coaches Poll and AP Poll compare to the CFP rankings?
The CFP rankings are the only ones that matter for playoff selection, but the Coaches and AP polls influence public perception. This year, all three aligned at No. 10 for Alabama—rare for a team this far down. That alignment signals deep consensus: the committee, coaches, and media all agree Alabama is no longer a contender. The AP Poll is media-driven, the Coaches Poll is insider-driven, and the CFP is committee-driven. When all three agree, it’s not a coincidence—it’s a verdict.
What’s the historical significance of Alabama falling to No. 10?
This is Alabama’s lowest CFP ranking since 2013, when they finished the regular season at No. 11. It’s the first time since 2007 they’ve been outside the top eight after Week 10. In the Saban era (2008–2024), Alabama was ranked in the top five in 16 of 17 seasons. This drop signals a potential end to their dynasty—and the start of a new competitive landscape in college football, where no team is untouchable.
Write a comment